蒙代爾：人民幣國際化深入推進有利于中國經濟結構調整

“諾貝爾經濟學獎”獲得者、美國哥倫比亞大學教授羅伯特·蒙代爾先生

　　【本期導讀】美聯儲退出QE的步伐是否正在加快？這將會對全球和中國金融市場產生哪些影響？美元未來是否將繼續處於領導地位？美元-歐元-人民幣聯盟的世界貨幣體系構建還要多久？人民幣國際化改革措施收效如何？帶著這些疑問，本期《金融街(行情,問診)會客廳》專訪“諾貝爾經濟學獎”獲得者、美國哥倫比亞大學教授羅伯特·蒙代爾先生。　

　　JRJ：How do you evaluate china self-going international innovation of RMB？

　　金融界：您怎么評價中國實行的人民幣國際化改革？

　　Mundell：For sector internalization， it could make it convertible that would be too mass internalization in coming ways and you need buy themselves to exchange controls because you can make currency convertible not for central banks. they use swap agreements with china， and they can move into right directions .As for the boarders sakes， the countries around china would do something as RMB already use high big deposit，the banking deposit. It would be important ，certainly in HK，etc. Ultimately the next step going for RMB is made more convertible. Like shanghai and Zurich，the global financial centers in big wave， that will be far more bombing job which has a big impact on Asia and other sectors. Until i happened to get to know the bank personnel，i don’t think the convertible for RMB is going to happen very immediately which is recognised to accept to occur. But at every year ，every time ，you can be keeping increasing no matter what the assets people had are convertible in foreign currencies. Since now china has ample resources and reserves， almost about 7 times of one of any other countries as their reserves，like current US dollar. So i think that they gradually move into that direction and could be the whole Chinese financial market for change and the new increased majority of the whole structure of Chinese finance which really held back by the capital self exchange controls.

　　蒙代爾：從區域來說，它必須是自由可兌換，更加大眾化將是它未來的運行方式，你有需要時可以自己購買，可以不通過中央銀行而自由兌換外匯。中國通過與一些國家的貨幣互換協議尋找到更便利的渠道。對一些中國周邊國家來說，因為邊界相鄰，人民幣已經在他們的銀行存款中占比很大，這是非常重要的信號。當然，在香港等地，人民幣下一步將大有所為。在經濟大潮中，像全球金融中心上海和蘇黎世這樣的地方，這種舉措會在亞洲和其他地區產生很大的影響。包括我認識的一些銀行家，也不認為人民幣可兌換會立即發生，這是公認的。但在每一年，每一個時間，不管是什么人，你都可以在資產中增持外幣。現在中國有充足外匯資產儲備，如其美元儲備幾乎相當於一些國家的7倍。所以，我認為從這個方向（人民幣國際化）逐步深入，可能促使整個中國金融市場的改革和經濟結構的調整，真正突破資本流通管制。